From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Tue Jul 04 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bcm!cs.utexas.edu!howland.reston.ans.net!news.nic.surfnet.nl!sun4nl!sci.kun.nl!mpi.nl!colin
From: colin@mpi.nl (colin)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: QUERY: Epidemiology in the European Union.
Date: 4 Jul 95 15:23:01 GMT
Organization: University of Nijmegen, The Netherlands
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Summary: Request for input on epidemiology in the European Union.
Keywords: Epidemiology, Financing, European Union, 5th Framework.


Dear colleagues,

I am a member of a European-science policy committee within the
biological-medical section of the Max Planck Society (MPG; a German
science organization). The committee has been asked to write a
report for the president of the MPG, concerning the forthcoming
5th Framework Programme of the European Union. One of the main
issues to be addressed in this report, is which (new) areas of
basic research should be especially promoted in the new Framework.

One of the areas we want to include is epidemiology. Issues that
come to mind here are, for instance: (1) a Europe-wide register of
diseases, (2) coordinated field work, (3) networks of research-oriented
clinics.

I am coordinating the committee's report with respect to epidemiology,
and would like to bring together a wide spectrum of relevant issues,
that might, hopefully, be taken up by the European Commission. However,
I am far from being an expert in epidemiology, and, would, therefore,
appreciate input from the scientific community.

My specific request, then, is for suggestions on which epidemiological
issues should be included in the 5th Framework Programme. In addition,
I would appreciate any pointers towards relevant reports and documents
that could help shape my thinking here.

Please send responses to my Internet address: COLIN@MPI.NL

Thank you in advance.


Colin Brown, PhD.

From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Wed Jul 05 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!IX.NETCOM.COM!labratus
From: labratus@IX.NETCOM.COM (Jeffrey Clark)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: (none)
Date: 6 Jul 1995 10:03:09 -0700
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SUBSCRIBE POPULATION-BIOLOGY 

From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Sat Jul 15 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!agate!howland.reston.ans.net!vixen.cso.uiuc.edu!uwm.edu!msunews!harbinger.cc.monash.edu.au!aggedor.rmit.EDU.AU!goanna.cs.rmit.edu.au!core.apana.org.au!suburbia.net!bennyboy
From: bennyboy@suburbia.net (Benjamin Hiu Tung Lai)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Genetic Engineering...
Date: 16 Jul 1995 10:46:46 GMT
Organization: Australian Public Access Network Association
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Hi,

I am cureently doing an investigation report on Genetic Engineering.
However, I need to report on a more specific topic/application. I am just
curious what are some of the examples (applications) relating to the use of genetic
engineering, other than obtaining pharmaceutical proteins from transgenic
animals. 


Regards,
Beni

From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Mon Jul 17 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bcm!cs.utexas.edu!news.sprintlink.net!uunet!in1.uu.net!news1.panix.com!zip.eecs.umich.edu!newsxfer.itd.umich.edu!jobone!lynx.unm.edu!hydra.unm.edu!not-for-mail
From: jsnyder@unm.edu (Johnny Snyder MATH)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: IES, Millbrook, NY
Date: 17 Jul 1995 18:42:54 -0600
Organization: University of New Mexico, Albuquerque
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Hi all.  I am seeking an e-mail address for IES
in Millbrook, New York.  Can anyone help?  
Thanks and reply to jsnyder@math.unm.edu

From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Wed Jul 19 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!rutgers!uwm.edu!vixen.cso.uiuc.edu!howland.reston.ans.net!Germany.EU.net!EU.net!Belgium.EU.net!chaos.kulnet.kuleuven.ac.be!news.belnet.be!news.vub.ac.be!is2e!apilloy
From: apilloy@vub.ac.be (Pilloy Annie)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Dead People
Date: 20 Jul 1995 12:16:08 GMT
Organization: Brussels Free Universities (VUB/ULB), Belgium
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Does anyone know approximately how mutch human are death between human lives...

	I wish to write a short story 

	Sorry, I.m a french speaker

		Please e-mail me!
ZZZ
ZZZ
ZZZ

ZZZ
ZZZ
z

From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Thu Jul 20 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!rutgers!gatech!europa.chnt.gtegsc.com!howland.reston.ans.net!swrinde!elroy.jpl.nasa.gov!lll-winken.llnl.gov!enews.sgi.com!news.igc.apc.org!cdp!foodfirst
From: Inst. for Food and Development Policy <foodfirst@igc.apc.org>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Rethinking Rainforests & Soc Justic
Message-ID: <APC&1'0'5cedfa76'bcc@igc.apc.org>
Date: Fri, 21 Jul 1995 11:47:12 -0700 (PDT)
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/* Written  3:51 PM  Jul 20, 1995 by foodfirst in igc:dev.foodfirst */
/* ---------- "Rethinking Rainforests & Soc Justic" ---------- */
********************************************************
Food First Backgrounder
Institute for Food & Development Policy
Please read informational material on the Institute at 
the end of this piece.
********************************************************
This Backgrounder is based on the authors' new book, 
"Breakfast of Biodiversity: The Truth about Rain Forest 
Destruction," Food First Books, 1995, foreward by 
Vandana Shiva.  Order information at end.
********************************************************


Rethinking Rain Forests:
Biodiversity and Social Justice 

by John Vandermeer and Ivette Perfecto 

     John Vandermeer is Alfred Thurneau Professor of 
     Biology at the University of Michigan. Ivette 
     Perfecto, a native of Puerto Rico, is Associate 
     Professor of the School of Natural Resources and 
     the Environment, University of Michigan. 

The buzz is unmistakable. A huge chain saw cuts 
effortlessly through the wood of a beautiful rain forest 
tree, slicing up the trunk it has just felled into 
smaller bits to be taken away on giant lumber trucks. 
That image is fixed in our minds. It drives us to the 
same distraction it has driven so many before us. The 
rain forests are physically beautiful and contain the 
vast majority of our relatives on this planet. What sort 
of person would not be haunted by the sound of chain 
saws decimating them? 

Yet another image is equally haunting. The bulldozed 
wooden shack, formerly the home of a poor family, 
constantly reminds us that lives as well as logs are 
being cut in most areas of tropical rain forests. Hungry 
children wander among the stumps of once majestic rain 
forest trees. Their mother cooks over an open fire, and 
their father fights the onslaught of weeds that 
continually threaten to choke out the crops the family 
needs for next year's food. All live in fear that the 
bulldozers will come again to destroy their present 
home. What sort of person would not be haunted by the 
existence of such poverty in a world of plenty? 

But for us the power of these two images lies in the way 
they are connected, a fact we are reminded of every 
morning we slice up bananas on our breakfast cereal. The 
banana cannot be grown in the United States, yet it is 
one of the most popular fruits here. As we all know, it 
is produced in the world's tropical regions, usually in 
the same areas where rain forests have flourished in the 
past. The link between the decimated forest and the 
hungry children is the banana. That is why it is so 
easy, as we slice up a banana in Michigan, for our 
thoughts to wander to the image of the chain saw slicing 
up the rain forest trees and the children who view the 
banana as a staple food rather than a luxury. 

The majority of life on earth lives in the rain forest. 
Close to 80% of the terrestrial species of animals and 
plants are to be found there. And this cradle of life is 
disappearing at an enormous rate. This is what the 
popular press has labeled as the "biodiversity" crisis. 

Some view the problem from only a utilitarian point of 
view. It is obvious that we depend on biodiversity for 
the most elementary aspects of existence-plants convert 
the sun's energy to a usable form, animals convert 
unusable plants to a product we can use, bacteria in our 
stomachs help digest our food. There are a host of other 
critical functions of life's diversity and furthermore, 
future utilitarian designs on biodiversity are most 
likely to follow the patterns of the past-medicines and 
genes for new crops being the obvious examples. Yet even 
if these utilitarian concerns were absent, the spiritual 
concern that the world's biodiversity is being destroyed 
should be enough to drive us to action. Less than 50% of 
the original tropical rain forests of the world are 
left, and at the present rate of destruction almost all 
will be gone by 2025. Our families, our memories-indeed 
a piece of our humanness-will have been destroyed 
forever. For this reason many have sounded the alarm and 
called for action. 

While we echo this same alarm, we are concerned that the 
calls for action may not be correctly placed. Indeed, 
many of these calls are based on one myth or another  
about what is causing rain forest destruction. We feel 
that these myths act to mask the true issue. In this 
Backgrounder we present arguments against the five main 
myths of rain forest destruction and argue that a more 
complex understanding is necessary to grasp what is 
causing the destruction of the world's rain forests. So 
we begin with an analysis of the five myths and conclude 
with a description of "the causal web," the true cause 
of rain forest destruction. 

Myth One: 

Loggers and logging companies are decimating the rain 
forest. 

Certainly the most immediate and visually spectacular 
cause of tropical rain forest destruction is logging. 
Cutting trees is nothing new. The use of rain forest 
wood has been traditional for most human societies in 
contact with these ecosystems. But the European invasion 
of tropical lands accelerated wood cutting enormously, 
as tropical woods began contributing to the development 
of the modern industrial society.(1) 

The direct consequences of logging, apart from the 
obvious and dramatic visual effects, are largely 
unknown. Some facts are deducible from general 
ecological principles, and a handful of studies have 
actually measured a few of the consequences, but a 
detailed knowledge of the direct consequences of logging 
is lacking. What can be deduced from ecological 
principles is not that tropical forests are irreparably 
damaged by logging, but quite the contrary: tropical 
forests are potentially quite resilient to disturbance. 
While this is a debatable deduction, most of the debate 
centers on how fast a forest will recover after a major 
disturbance, such as logging, not on whether it will. 
The process of ecological succession inevitably begins 
after logging, and the proper question to ask, then, is: 
how long will it take for the forest to recover? 

In analyzing the effects of logging, we cannot assume a 
uniform process. There are a variety of logging 
techniques, some likely to lead to rapid forest 
recovery, others necessitating a longer period for 
recovery. For example, local residents frequently chop 
down trees for their own use as fence posts, charcoal, 
or dugout canoes. Forest recovery after such an 
intrusion can be thought of as virtually instantaneous, 
since the removal of a single tree is similar to a tree 
dying of natural causes, a perfectly natural process 
that happens regularly in all forests. At the other 
extreme is clear cutting, the extraction of all trees in 
an area. Though the physical nature of a clear cut 
forest is spectacularly different from the mature 
forest, from other perspectives the damage is not quite 
as dramatic as it appears. The process of secondary 
succession that begins immediately after such logging 
leads rapidly to the establishment of secondary forest. 

A great deal of biological diversity is contained in a 
secondary forest. Indeed, a late secondary forest is 
likely to appear indistinguishable from an old-growth 
forest to all but the most sophisticated observer, even 
though it may have been initiated from a clear cut. 
Large expanses of secondary forest may even contain more 
biological diversity than similar expanses of old-growth 
forest.(2) No studies thus far have followed such an 
area to its return to a "mature" forest again,(3) but a 
reasonable estimate is that it would take something on 
the order of 40 to 80 years before the area begins to 
regain the structure of an old growth forest. 

Probably the most common type of commercial logging is 
not the clear cutting described above but, rather, 
selective logging. In an area of tropical forest that 
may contain 400 or more species of trees, only twenty or 
thirty will be of commercial importance.(4) Thus, a 
logging company usually seeks out areas with 
particularly large concentrations of the valuable 
species and ignores the rest. Often the wood is so 
valuable that it makes economic sense to build a road to 
extract just a few trees. Yet these roads offer new 
access to the forest for hunters, miners, and peasant 
agriculturists. In most situations this aspect of 
selective logging contributes most egregiously to 
deforestation, but it is obviously an indirect 
consequence of the logging operation itself. 

A selectively logged forest is damaged, but not 
destroyed. Even a single year after the selective 
logging the forest begins taking on the appearance of a 
"real" forest. If no further cutting occurs, the 
selectively logged forest may regain the structural 
features of old growth after ten or twenty years. 
Although the scars of selective logging wi ll remain for 
decades to a trained eye, the general structure of the 
forest may rapidly return. But this is not to say 
selective logging is, in the end, benign. The roads and 
partial clearings are obvious entrance points for 
peasant agriculture, as described below. 

Myth Two: 

Peasant farmers are increasing in numbers and cut down 
rain forests to make farms to feed their families. 

This myth is especially popular among neo-Malthusians. 
The explosive growth in the population of poor people in 
most tropical countries of the world is seen as a 
consequence of the basic forces that cause populations 
to grow generally, and a simple extrapolation suggests 
that even if this is not the main problem now, it 
certainly will be if population growth is not somehow 
curtailed. 

Debunking the neo-Malthusian myth is not our purpose 
here; that has been done well elsewhere.(5) Rather, 
laying the blame for the destruction of the forest on 
the peasant farmer is really blaming the victim. Peasant 
farmers in most rain forest areas are forced to farm 
under circumstances that are unfavorable, to say the 
least, from both an ecological and sociopolitical point 
of view. 

At the outset, we must acknowledge the temptation to 
assume that, in rain forest areas, the potential for 
agriculture is great. Since there is neither winter nor 
lack of water, two of the main limiting factors for 
agriculture in other areas of the world, it is easy to 
conclude that production might very well be cornucopian. 
The tremendously lush vegetation of a tropical rain 
forest only heightens this impression, and indeed this 
perception may ultimately be valid. The ability to 
produce for twelve months of the year without worrying 
about irrigation is definitely a positive aspect to 
farming in such regions. But, so far at least, the woes 
are almost insurmountable, as most farmers forced to 
cultivate in rain forest areas can attest. The first 
problem is the soils. Rain forest soils are usually 
acidic, made up of clay that cannot store nutrients 
well, and very low in organic matter.(6) Even if 
nutrients are added to the soil they will be utilized 
relatively inefficiently because of the acidity, and 
then they will be washed out of the system because of 
its low storage capacity. 

This problem is actually exacerbated by the forest 
itself. Because tropical rain forest plants have grown 
in these poor soil conditions for millions of years, 
they have evolved mechanisms for storing the system's 
nutrients in their vegetative matter (leaves, stems, 
roots, etc.) If they did not, much of the nutrient 
material would simply wash out of the system and no 
longer be available to them. This means that a vast 
majority of the nutrients in the ecosystem are stored in 
plant material rather than in the soil. 

Consequently when a forest is cut down and burned, the 
nutrients in the vegetation are immediately made 
available to any crops that have been planted. The crops 
grow vigorously at first, but any nutrients unused 
during the first growing season will tend to leach out 
of the system. The "poverty" of the soil only becomes 
evident during the second growing season. This pattern 
is especially invidious when migrant farmers from areas 
with relatively stable soils arrive in a rain forest 
area. The first year they may produce a bumper crop, 
which creates a false sense of security. Then, if the 
second year is not a complete failure, almost certainly 
the third or fourth is, and the farmer is forced  to 
move on to cut down another piece of forest. 

A second problem is insects, diseases and weeds. The 
magnitude of the pest problem is often not fully 
anticipated by farmers or planners, and it is only after 
problems arise that the surprised agronomists become 
concerned. This is unfortunate, since one of the few 
things we can predict with confidence is that when rain 
forest is converted to agriculture, many pests arrive. 
The herbivores that used to eat the plants of the rain 
forest are not eliminated when the forest is cut. They 
are representatives of the massive biodiversity of 
tropical rain forests, and the potential number of them 
is enormous. Herbivores can devastate farmers' fields, 
and are able to destroy an entire crop in days. 

A third problem is that because of the uniformly moist 
and warm environment, organisms that cause crop diseases 
find rain forest habitats quite hospitable. 
Consequently, the potential for losing crops to disease 
is far greater than in more temperate climates. Finally, 
just as the hot, wet environment is agreeable for crops, 
it is also agreeable for competitive plants. Since no 
two plants can occupy the same space, frequently the 
crop falls victim to the more aggressive vines and 
grasses that colonize open areas in tropical rain forest 
zones. Weeds are thus an especially difficult problem. 

These, then, are some of the ecological problems faced 
by the peasant farmer seeking to establish a farm in a 
rain forest area. Sociopolitical forces, however, are 
far more devastating. And most of those sociopolitical 
forces are associated with a different form of 
agriculture-modern export agriculture. 

When a modern export agricultural operation is set up, 
it tends to do two things regarding labor. First, it 
purchases, or sometimes steals, land from local peasant 
farmers, thus forcing them to move onto more marginal 
lands, with the kinds of problems we described above. 
Second, it frequently requires more labor than is 
locally available, thus acting as a magnet to attract 
unemployed people from other regions. Indeed, in most 
rain forest areas this magnet effect is a far more 
important factor leading to increased local populations 
than population growth. 

But the modern agricultural operation, as detailed in 
the following section, is subject to dramatic 
fluctuations in production, since it is usually 
intimately connected with world agricultural commodity 
markets. Thus, there is a highly variable need for this 
labor, which means that today's workers always face the 
prospect of becoming tomorrow's peasant farmers. 

In the contemporary world most peasant farmers find 
themselves in this precarious position. While it is true 
that many indigenous groups have lived and farmed in 
rain forest areas for hundreds of years and certainly 
deserve the world's attention and support in their 
attempts at preserving traditional ways of life, the 
vast majority of poor peasant farmers today are not 
indigenous. Rather, they are people who have been 
marginalized by a politico-economic system that needs 
them to serve as laborers when times are good, and to 
take care of themselves when times are not. As long as 
times are good, the banana workers of Central America 
have jobs. But when economies sour, many of those banana 
workers suddenly become peasant farmers. 

So in the end, the myth of the peasant farmers causing 
rain forest destruction is perhaps true in the narrow 
sense that a knitting needle causes yarn to form a 
sweater. But little understanding of what really drives 
the process is gained from the simple observation that a 
peasant's ax can chop a rain forest tree. 

Myth Three: 

The transformation of rain forests into large-scale 
export agriculture is the main factor leading to 
deforestation. 

Given the above description of how peasant agriculture 
is driven by industrialized agricultural activities, it 
is no wonder that many have concluded that the modern 
export agricultural system is the ultimate culprit. 
Furthermore, the images of large cattle ranchers 
purposefully burning Amazon rain forests to make cattle 
pastures fuels this interpretation. Again, there is some 
merit to this position. However, we feel that it, too, 
is an inappropriate window through which to view the 
problem of rain forest destruction. 

The direct action of large modern agricultural 
enterprises is not really as involved in direct rain 
forest destruction as is popularly believed. Burning 
Amazon rain forests to replace them with cattle ranches 
is certainly an example of the direct destruction of 
rain forests by "big" agriculture. But the vast majority 
of modern agricultural transformations in tropical areas 
are confined to areas that had already been converted to 
agriculture. Developers of expanding banana plantations 
of Central America claim, for example, to be cutting no 
primary forest at all. While we doubt their full 
sincerity, it does seem that about 90% of the current 
expansion is into areas that had long ago been 
deforested. Attributing direct deforestation to them is, 
as they argue, probably quite unfair. On the other hand, 
their activities are not totally unrelated to the 
problem, as can be easily seen from a closer examination 
of their underlying structure. 

The basic structure of modern agriculture is frequently 
misunderstood because of an overly romantic notion of 
agriculture - the small, independent, family farm, rich 
with tradition and a work ethic that even a Puritan 
could be impressed with. Such romanticism is fueled by a 
confusion between farming and agriculture. Farming is a 
resource transformation process in which land, seed, and 
labor are converted into, for example, peanuts. It is 
Farmer Brown cultivating the land, sowing the seed, and 
harvesting the peanuts. Agriculture is the decision to 
invest money in this year's peanut production; the use 
of a tractor and cultivator to prepare the land; an 
automatic seeder for planting; application of 
herbicides, insecticides, fungicides, nematodes and 
bactericides to kill unwanted pieces of the ecology; 
automatic harvest of the commodity; sale of the 
commodity to a processing company where it is ground up 
and emulsifiers, taste enhances, stabilizers and 
preservatives are added; packing in convenient 
"pleasing-to-the-consumer" jars; and, finally, marketing 
under a sexy brand name. In short, while farming is the 
production of peanuts from the land, agriculture is the 
production of peanut butter from petroleum.(7) Over the 
last two hundred years, and especially in the last 
fifty, much farming has been transformed into 
agriculture. 

The consequence of this evolution is that modern 
agriculture is remarkably intrusive on local ecologies. 
Take, for example, the establishment of a banana 
plantation. When the banana export business began, local 
peasant farmers grew most of the bananas and sold them 
to shipping companies. Gradually, the shipping companies 
turned into the banana producers, with huge areas 
devoted to the monocultural production of this single 
crop. To establish a modern banana plantation it is 
often necessary to construct a complex system of 
hydrological control wherein the soil is leveled and 
crisscrossed with drainage channels, significantly 
altering the physical nature of the soil. 

Contemporary banana production even includes burying 
plastic tubing in the ground to eliminate the natural 
variability in subsurface water depth. Metal monorails 
hang from braces placed into cement footings to haul the 
bunches of bananas. To avert fungal diseases, heavy use 
of fungicides is required, and because of the large 
scale of the operation chemical methods of pest control 
are the preferred option. The banana plants create an 
almost complete shade cover and thus replace all 
residual vegetation. Pesticide application is sometimes 
intense, other times almost absent, depending on 
conditions, but over the long run one can expect an 
enormous cumulative input of pesticides, the long-term 
consequences of which are unknown but likely to be 
unhealthy for both workers and the environment. 

A major social transformation is also required. Banana 
production tends to promote a local "overpopulation 
crisis" by encouraging a great deal of migration into 
the area. As the international market for bananas ebbs 
and flows, workers are alternatively hired and fired. 
When fired, there is little alternative economic 
opportunity in banana zones, and displaced workers must 
either look for a piece of land to farm, or migrate to 
the cities to join the swelling ranks of shanty town 
dwellers. 

Thus, the direct effect of most modern agricultural 
activities is not inexorably linked with the cutting and 
burning of rain forests, despite some obvious and 
spectacular examples of where it indeed is. More 
importantly, the overall operation of the modern 
agricultural system is integrated into a bigger picture. 
It is that bigger picture that we must examine to 
understand the causes of rain forest destruction, as we 
argue in the final section of this Backgrounder. 

Myth Four: 

Local governments institute policies that cause rain 
forests to be destroyed. 

Probably the most cited example of local government 
policy that promotes deforestation is that of the 
infamous transmigration programs of the Indonesian 
government, in which hundreds of thousands of Javanese 
farmers have been displaced to the exceedingly poor 
soils of Kalimantan.(8) However, most local government 
programs in forestry and agriculture are frequently 
dictated by very specific economic and political forces 
that are effectively beyond the control of local 
governments. Once those forces are understood, it is 
difficult to lay the full blame on local governments. 
They may be corrupt, they may be inefficient, but in 
fact their hands are frequently tied by forces beyond 
their control. 

Given today's global interconnectedness, in order to 
understand the Third World we must view it as embedded 
in the modern industrial system. In that system the 
people who provide the labor in the production processes 
are not the same people who provide the tools, machines 
and factories. The former are the workers in the 
factories, the latter are the owners of the factories. 
The owners of the machines and tools directly make the 
management decisions about all production processes. A 
good manager tries to minimize all production costs, 
including the cost of labor. 

However, the owners of the factories face a complicated 
and contradictory task. While factory workers constitute 
a cost of production to be minimized, they also 
participate, along with the multitudes of other workers 
in society, in the consumption of products. In trying to 
maximize profits, factory owners are concerned that 
their factories' products sell for a high price. This 
can only happen if workers, in general, are making a lot 
of money. In contrast to what is desired at the level of 
the factory,  the opposite goal is sought at the level 
of society. Factory owners must wear two hats, then: one 
as owners of the factories, and another as members of a 
social class. Owners wish the laborers to receive as 
little as possible, but members of the social class 
benefit if laborers in general receive as much as 
possible (to enable them to purchase the products 
produced in the factory). This has long been recognized 
as one of the classic contradictions of a modern 
economy. 

The situation in much of the Third World appears 
superficially similar. For the most part we are dealing 
with agrarian economies in which there are two obvious 
social classes, those who produce crops for export like 
cotton, coffee, tea, rubber, bananas, chocolate, beef, 
and sugar; and those who produce food for their own 
consumption on their own small farms and, when 
necessary, provide the labor for export crop producers. 
The typical arrangement in the Developed World is an 
articulated economy, while that in the Third World is 
disarticulated, in that the two main sectors of the 
economy are not articulated or connected with one 
another. The banana company does not really care whether 
its workers make enough money to buy bananas; that is 
not its market. The banana company cares that the 
workers of the Developed World have purchasing power, 
because those are the people expected to buy most of the 
bananas. 

This disarticulation, or dualism, helps to explain the 
differences between analogous classes in the First and 
Third Worlds. Flower producers in Colombia do not 
concern themselves much over the fact that their workers 
cannot buy their products. On the other hand, the 
factory owners in the U.S., whether they be private 
factories or government owned and/or subsidized 
industries, care quite a lot that the working class has 
purchasing power. General Motors "cares" that the 
general population in the U.S. can afford to buy cars. 
Naturally they aim to pay their own workers as little as 
possible, but that goal is balanced by their wish for 
the workers in general to be good consumers. 

Seeing this structure at the national level in an 
underdeveloped country causes one to realize that one of 
the main, sometimes only, sources of capital to create a 
civil society is from agricultural exports. Because of 
the disarticulated nature of the economy the dream of 
development based on internally derived consumer demand 
is pie in the sky, and any realist must acknowledge that 
the only conceivable source of capital to invest in 
growth must come from exports. And most frequently 
agricultural exports are the only possibility. Herein 
derives the need for Third World governments to continue 
expanding this export agriculture. This need is an 
inevitable consequence of the underlying structure of 
the general world system. Thus to blame local 
governments for initiating policies that are ultimately 
damaging to rain forests may be technically correct in 
that those policies frequently do just what the critics 
say they do -destroy rain forests. But taking a larger 
view we see that local governments are effectively 
constrained to do exactly that. Indeed, we predict that 
most of today's critics would wind up promoting the very 
same programs the local governments are currently 
promoting, if they were suddenly pushed into the same 
position the local governments currently find 
themselves. 

Myth Five: 

Decisions made by international agencies cause rain 
forest destruction. 

As before, there is some truth to this position. As well 
documented, although not yet "retrospected" by Mr. 
McNamara, the World Bank has left a trail of rain forest 
destruction in the wake of its many socially and 
economically destructive programs in the Third World.(9)  
From the point of view of the decision making agencies, 
they, along with other agencies involved in the overall 
problem, seem to be boxed in by circumstances. The 
climate for investment is variable in the Developed 
World. There are times when it is difficult to find 
profitable investments at home. At such times it is 
useful to have alternatives to investment. The Third 
World is one source for those opportunities. The 
Developed World, because of its basic structure, tends 
to go through cycles of bust and boom, sometimes severe, 
other times merely annoying. During low economic times, 
where is an investor supposed to invest? 

The Third World provides a sink for investments during 
rough times in the First World. This is why the dualism 
of the Third World is a "functional dualism." It 
functions to provide an escape valve for investors from 
the Developed World. The West German entrepreneur who 
started an ornamental plant farm in Costa Rica, on which 
former peasant farmers work as night watchmen, invested 
his money in the Third World because opportunities in 
his native Germany were scarce at the time. What would 
he have done had there been no peasants willing to work 
for practically nothing, and no Costa Rica willing to 
accept his investments at very low taxation? Clearly 
Costa Rica is, for him, a place to make his capital work 
until the situation clears up in Germany. Union Carbide 
located its plant in Bhopal, India, and not in Grand 
Rapids, Michigan. U.S. pesticide companies export to 
Third World countries insecticides that have been banned 
at home. U.S. pharmaceutical companies pollute the 
ground water in Puerto Rico because they cannot do so 
(at least not so easily) in the United States. In all 
cases, Third World people are forced to accept such 
arrangements, largely because of their extremely 
underdeveloped economy. 

With this analysis, the origin of the Third World as an 
outgrowth of European expansion (while a correct and 
useful historical point of view), can be seen as not the 
only factor to be considered. Even today, the 
maintenance of the Third World is a consequence of the 
way our world system operates. The Developed World 
remains successful at economic development for two 
reasons. First, because it has an articulated economy, 
and second, because it is able to weather the storm of 
economic crisis by seeking investment opportunities in 
the Third World. The Third World, in contrast, has been 
so unsuccessful because its economy is disarticulated, 
lacking the connections that would make it grow in the 
same way as the Developed World. Yet at a more macro 
scale, the dualism of the Third World is quite 
functional, in that it maintains the opportunity for 
investors from the Developed World to use the Third 
World as an escape valve in times of crisis. Indeed, it 
appears that the Developed World remains developed, at 
least in part, specifically because the Underdeveloped 
World is underdeveloped. 

Given this structure, what really can be expected of 
international agencies? Their goal is usually stated in 
very humanitarian rhetoric. But their more basic goal 
has to be the preservation of the system that gives them 
their station in life. That is, above and beyond the 
stated goals of the World Bank or the IMF or the FAO, 
there must be a commitment to keep the world organized 
in its current state. Their activities can thus be 
viewed as trying to solve problems within the context of 
the current system. They thus become part of what 
preserves that system. We should not expect large 
international agencies to be promoting such causes as 
land reform for peasant agriculture or labor standard 
regulations for export agriculture. Indeed, such 
proposals would be at odds with the manner in which the 
current world system is functioning, and would represent 
a legitimate challenge to the existence of the agency 
itself. Viewed from this perspective, the international 
agencies are just as boxed in as the local governments. 
The world system is functioning as well today as it was 
at the end of World War II -according to the standards 
adopted by those who benefit from its current structure. 

The Web of Causality 

In reading our demythologization of the above five 
myths, the reader has undoubtedly noted that there 
really is something valid about each of the myths. 
Loggers do cut trees down, peasant agriculturists do 
clear and burn forests, export agriculturists do cut 
down primary rain forests, local governments do 
encourage export agriculture, and international agencies 
do promote programs that destroy rain forests. But our 
attempt was not to disprove these myths per se, but 
rather to disprove the idea that any one of them could 
be the ultimate cause of rain forest destruction. 
Indeed, in each case we have emphasized not the direct 
consequences of the agency involved but, rather, the 
indirect connections that tie each of the agencies into 
a web of interaction. 

We agree with Wallerstein's general assessment that the 
world is intricately connected (10), that it no longer 
makes sense to try understanding isolated pockets, such 
as nations, and, we add, that isolated thematic pockets 
are similarly incomprehensible unless embedded in this 
global framework. For this reason, attempts at 
understanding tropical rain forest destruction in 
isolation have largely failed. As should be clear by 
now, the fate of the rain forest is intimately tied to 
various agricultural activities, which are embedded in 
larger structures, some retaining a connection to 
agriculture, some not. Our position is that there is 
multiple causation of rain forest destruction, with 
logging, peasant agriculture, export agriculture, 
domestic sociopolitical forces, international socio-
economic relations, and other factors intricately 
connected with one another in a "web of causality." This 
web is key to understanding why we face the problem of 
rain forest destruction in the first place. The most 
elementary features of that web are illustrated in 
figure 1. 

At the bottom of the figure we see that damaged rain 
forests will recuperate if not further damaged, but 
recuperate far more slowly if further modified by 
agriculture. The damaged rain forests themselves are 
created by either logging or modern agriculture and 
further cleared by peasant farmers. But the latter's 
activities are a consequence of the opportunities 
created by logging as well as the ups and downs of the 
international market that cause the hiring and firing of 
workers. Modern agriculture needs those workers, as well 
as the land that it buys or steals from peasant farmers. 
Viewed as a web of causality, it is quite pointless to 
try to identify a single entity as the "true" cause of 
rain forest destruction. The true cause is the web 
itself. 

Yet even this is an oversimplified picture. The web of 
causality is far larger and more complex. The farmers, 
loggers, modern agriculture and workers of figure 1 
[only available in the printed version, which also has 
photos -- order instructions can be found at the end) 
represent just a subweb. The subweb is ultimately 
embedded in a larger web that includes the international 
banking system, national governments, the U.S. and other 
Developed World governments, as well as consumers and 
investors in the Developed World. This is the true web 
of causality, and it is complicated and interconnected. 
Tweaking one strand is not likely to bring the whole 
structure down. 

Fighting a concerted battle to restructure the entire 
nature of the web is the only alternative. Furthermore, 
seeing the entire web of causality enables those engaged 
in highly focused political action to see their actions 
in relation to other actions, perhaps evoking an 
analysis of consequences that may be dramatic, even 
though quite indirect. For example, organizing consumer 
boycotts can be seen as clearly attacking the connection 
between consumers and modern export agriculture. But 
following through the logic of the web also suggests 
that a successful consumer boycott may likewise reduce 
the need of modern agriculture for workers, thus 
creating more peasant farmers, who will likely clear 
more forest. If a careful analysis of this situation 
reveals that the loss of jobs will be severe, the 
political action agenda might then be expanded to form 
alliances with a local farm worker union calling for job 
security or a political movement seeking secure land 
ownership for the increased number of peasant farmers 
that will surely be created if the boycott is a success. 

The Political Action Plan 

This analysis is meaningless without a program of 
political action. Political action must focus on the web 
of causality and eschew single issue foci. Calls for 
boycotts of tropical timbers or bananas need to be 
coupled with actions to change investment patterns and 
international banking pressures. Above all, political 
action plans must be formulated so they do not make the 
situation worse-certainly a conceivable, perhaps even 
likely, consequence of any action, given the complex 
nature of the web of causality. It appears obvious that 
political action needs to be focused not only on rain 
forests and the subjects traditionally associated with 
them, but also on social justice. The same peasant 
farmers who formed the backbone of the Vietnamese 
liberation forces or the Salvadoran guerrillas are the 
ones who are forced into the marginal existence that 
compels them to continually move into the forests. So 
the same issues that compelled progressive organizers in 
the past to form solidarity committees and anti-war 
protests are the issues that must be addressed if the 
destruction of rain forests is to be stopped. 

Just as the most effective political action in the past 
was organized in conjunction with and to some extent 
under the leadership of the people for whom social 
justice was being sought, so today political action 
should be coordinated with those same people. As that 
coordination proceeds, the alliances that grow will 
inevitably lead to the reformulation of goals, which the 
rain forest conservation activist must acknowledge and 
respect. Local people, quite obviously, must recognize 
something about the rain forest that is in their best 
interest to preserve, and it is the job of the 
progressive organizer to construct the political action 
so that such value is evident. In short, the alliance 
between the people who live in and around the rain 
forest and those from the outside who seek to stop the 
tide of rain forest destruction must be a two way 
alliance. 

If the people who live around the Lacandon forest in 
Mexico, for example, have as their major goal the 
reformulation of the Mexican political system, the rain 
forest conservationist must join the political movement 
to change that system - something that many would see as 
distant from the original goal of preserving rain 
forests. Political action to preserve rain forests, 
under the framework of the web of causality, will 
inevitably involve the serious preservationist in social 
justice issues, many of which initially may have seemed 
only marginally associated with the problem of rain 
forest destruction. Recalling the old slogan, "If you 
want peace, work for justice," we hope someday to hear, 
for example, "Save Mexican rain forests, support the 
Zapatistas," or "If you want to save Cuba's rain 
forests, break the illegal U. S. blockade." 

FOR FURTHER READING For a fuller, more detailed 
exploration of both ecological and socioeconomic 
dimensions of rain forest destruction, read Vandermeer 
and Perfecto's controversial new Food First book, 
"Breakfast of Biodiversity: The Truth about Rain Forest 
Destruction." With a foreword by ecofeminist philosopher 
Vandana Shiva, the book "ranges from the acidity of rain 
forest soils to the acridity of international politics." 

NOTES 

(1)       Westoby, 1989. 
(2)       Some ecologists think that the actual number 
of species in an ecosystem increases as ecological 
succession proceeds, but only to a point. After that 
critical point, the diversity actually decreases, 
leading to the conclusion that a very old forest may be 
less diverse than a younger one. 
(3)       There is a problem with the definition here. 
Most ecologists today eschew the notion of a "mature" 
forest, and simply speak of "old growth." The notion of 
maturity implies something about a directed 
developmental sequence that does not fit well with what 
we now know about tropical rain forest succession. 
(4)       There are exceptions to this rule. Many swampy 
forests are characterized by the presence of only a few 
species. The biggest exception are the Southeast Asian 
Dipterocarp forests, where the vast majority of trees in 
the forest belong to a single plant family, 
characterized by very large and straight trunks, a 
logger's delight. 
(5)       Rosset, 1994; Murdoch, 1980; Lapp, F. M. and 
J. Collins. 1977; Lapp, F. M. and R. Schurman, 1988. 
(6)       There is some debate about the question of 
organic matter in rain forest soils. The rate of 
decomposition of organic matter is about twice the rate 
it is in a normal temperate zone situation, and thus it 
is only natural to expect the standing crop of organic 
matter to be less in the rain forest. Some authors have 
questioned this ba sic assumption (e.g. National 
Research Council, 1993). On the other hand, all are in 
agreement that once the forest is cleared for 
agriculture, whatever organic matter was actually there 
rapidly disappears from the soil. 
(7)       This is the imagery first provided by 
Lewontin, 1982. 
(8)       Kiddell-Monroe and Kiddell-Monroe,1993. 
(9)        Rich, 1994. 
(10)       Wallerstein, 1980. 

References       

Kiddell-Monroe, S. and R. Kiddell-Monroe. 1993. 
"Indonesia: Land Rights and Development." in Colchester, 
M. and L. Lohmann (eds) The Struggle for Land and the 
Fate of the Forests. World Rainforest Movement and Zed 
Books, London. 

Lapp, F. M. and J. Collins. 1977. Food First: Beyond 
the Myth of Scarcity. Houghton Mifflin, Boston.        

Lapp, F. M. and R. Schurman. 1988. Taking Population 
Seriously. Institute for Food and Development Policy, 
San Francisco.

Lewontin, R. 1982. "Agricultural Research and the 
Penetration of Capital." Science for the People 14:12-
17.      

Murdoch, W. 1980. Poverty of Nations: Population, 
Hunger, and Development. Johns Hopkins Univ. Press, 
Baltimore.       

National Research Council. 1993. Sustainable Agriculture 
and the Environment in the Humid Tropics. National 
Academy Press, Washington, D.C.        

Rich, B. 1994. Mortgaging the Earth: The World Bank, 
Environmental Impoverishment, and the Crisis of 
Development. Beacon Press, Boston.        

Rosset, P. et al. 1994."Myths and Root  Causes: Hunger, 
Population and Development." Food First Backgrounder, 
Institute for Food and Development Policy, Oakland. 

Wallerstein, I. 1980. The Modern World System II: 
Mercantilism and the Consolidation of the European 
World-Economy, 1260-1750. Academic Press, New York.        

Westoby, J. 1989. Introduction to World Forestry. Basil 
Blackwell Ltd., Oxford. 


********************************************************
Copyright 1994 Food First. All rights reserved. Please 
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From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Fri Jul 21 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!agate!spool.mu.edu!usenet.eel.ufl.edu!newsfeed.internetmci.com!lamarck.sura.net!news.uky.edu!chuck
From: "Christopher L. Schardl" <clscha00@ukcc.uky.edu>
Newsgroups: bionet.mycology,BIONET.microbiology,bionet.molbio.evolution,bionet.plants,bionet.virology,bionet.population-bio,bionet.women-in-bio
Subject: FACULTY PSTNS IN PLANT PATH AT U KENTUCKY
Date: 22 Jul 1995 00:37:13 GMT
Organization: University of Kentucky
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Assistant/Associate Professor(s) of Plant Pathology.  Applications 
are invited for two tenure-track faculty positions focusing on 
fundamental research concerning plant-pathogen interactions.  
Although the successful candidates will be allowed broad latitude 
in determining particular research directions, they will be 
expected to develop/direct nationally recognized programs.  Strong 
preference will be given in one position for an individual using 
molecular approaches to the study of prokaryotes and plant 
diseases in which they are causally involved.  The appointees will 
be expected to contribute to the instructional program in the 
department as well as to provide expertise to other departmental 
efforts.  A Ph.D. in plant pathology or a related discipline is 
required.  Postdoctoral experience is desirable.  One position may 
be filled at the Associate Professor level with an individual who 
has demonstrated appropriate professional accomplishments.  
Applicants should send curriculum vitae, transcripts, sample 
publications, any other evidence of professional accomplishments 
considered relevant and the names/addresses/phone numbers of at 
least three professional references to Dr. David A. Smith, 
Department of Plant Pathology, S-305 Agricultural Science 
Building-North, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40546-0091 
(phone: 606-257-3901; fax: 606-323-1961; email: 
DSMITH@UKCC.UKY.EDU).  Applications will be accepted until August 
31, 1995, or until suitably qualified candidates are found.  The 
University of Kentucky is an equal opportunity employer.  Women 
and minorities are encouraged to apply.




From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Fri Jul 21 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!agate!howland.reston.ans.net!newsfeed.internetmci.com!lamarck.sura.net!news.uky.edu!chuck
From: "Christopher L. Schardl" <clscha00@ukcc.uky.edu>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: (no subject)
Date: 22 Jul 1995 00:30:06 GMT
Organization: University of Kentucky
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Assistant/Associate Professor(s) of Plant Pathology.  Applications 
are invited for two tenure-track faculty positions focusing on 
fundamental research concerning plant-pathogen interactions.  
Although the successful candidates will be allowed broad latitude 
in determining particular research directions, they will be 
expected to develop/direct nationally recognized programs.  Strong 
preference will be given in one position for an individual using 
molecular approaches to the study of prokaryotes and plant 
diseases in which they are causally involved.  The appointees will 
be expected to contribute to the instructional program in the 
department as well as to provide expertise to other departmental 
efforts.  A Ph.D. in plant pathology or a related discipline is 
required.  Postdoctoral experience is desirable.  One position may 
be filled at the Associate Professor level with an individual who 
has demonstrated appropriate professional accomplishments.  
Applicants should send curriculum vitae, transcripts, sample 
publications, any other evidence of professional accomplishments 
considered relevant and the names/addresses/phone numbers of at 
least three professional references to Dr. David A. Smith, 
Department of Plant Pathology, S-305 Agricultural Science 
Building-North, University of Kentucky, Lexington, KY 40546-0091 
(phone: 606-257-3901; fax: 606-323-1961; email: 
DSMITH@UKCC.UKY.EDU).  Applications will be accepted until August 
31, 1995, or until suitably qualified candidates are found.  The 
University of Kentucky is an equal opportunity employer.  Women 
and minorities are encouraged to apply.




From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Fri Jul 21 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!COLUMBIA.EDU!rbs17
From: rbs17@COLUMBIA.EDU (Robert B Scott)
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Date: Sat, 22 Jul 1995 19:26:52 -0400 (EDT)
From: Robert B Scott <rbs17@columbia.edu>
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To: leda <leda@akbol.org>
Subject: Re: F2PV!)E$'R")1``
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I don't know what possessed you to send this
bizarre message blaming all your insecurities
on a list of "minorities," but it does not seem
to have any relevance for the study of population
biology or any redeeming value whatsoever.  Always
nice to know the e-mail address of one more mindless
idiot who can't think of anything constructive to
do. Enjoy the campaign!  Isn't it great to live in
a democracy?  Even people like you get to vote.  

-Spare us any more of your drivel, please.  Thanks,

Robb Scott

On Sat, 22 Jul 1995, leda wrote:

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> 
> from the Gulf of Mexico to the Dakotas and Minnesota, plus
> parts of south central Canada via KAAY, Little Rock, Arkansas:
> Friday night/Saturday morning
>           1:00am Central Time.......1090 on your AM dial
> Saturday night
>           11:30pm Central Time......1090 on your AM dial
> 
> 
> UPPER MIDWEST AND NORTHERN MOUNTAIN USA
> 
> from Minnesota and Iowa west to Colorado and Montana, plus
> a large part of western Canada via KXEL, Waterloo, Iowa:
> Mon-Fri   9:30pm Central Time.......1540 on your AM dial
> 
> 
> LITTLE ROCK, ARKANSAS AREA
> 
> (these stations can be heard in most of Arkansas)
> via KMTL, Little Rock:
> Saturday 10:00am.....................760 on your AM dial
> via KAAY, Little Rock:
> Friday night/Saturday morning
>           1:00am....................1090 on your AM dial
> Saturday  11:30pm...................1090 on your AM dial
> 
> WICHITA FALLS, TEXAS AREA
> 
> via KSEY AM-FM, Seymour:
> Saturday 8:30am.....................94.3 on your FM dial
> Saturday 10:00am....................1230 on your AM dial
> 
> HOUSTON, TEXAS AREA
> 
> via KGOL, Houston:
> Saturday 6:00pm.....................1180 on your AM dial
> 
> HUNTSVILLE / DECATUR, ALABAMA AREAS
> 
> via WAJF and WYAM, Decatur/Hartselle:
> Wednesday 9:00am....................1490 on your AM dial
> Wednesday 9:00am.....................890 on your AM dial
> 
> TAMPA, FLORIDA AREA
> 
> via WTIS, St. Petersburg:
> Saturday 11:30am....................1110 on your AM dial
> 
> CINCINNATI, OHIO AREA
> 
> via WTSJ, Cincinnati:
> Friday 6:00pm.......................1050 on your AM dial
> 
> RHODE ISLAND,  EASTERN MASSACHUSETTS, AND CONNECTICUT
> 
> via WALE, Providence:
> Monday 10:00am.......................990 on your AM dial
> 
> 
>                                               <= Crusader =>
> 
> 
> 
> 




From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Sat Jul 22 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!agate!howland.reston.ans.net!news.sprintlink.net!rockyd!cmcl2!is.NYU.EDU!ahr8598
From: ahr8598@is.nyu.edu (Axel H. Rosenberg)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Hispanic population in the US
Date: 23 Jul 1995 03:40:13 GMT
Organization: New York University
Lines: 12
Message-ID: <3usgat$g1h@cmcl2.NYU.EDU>
NNTP-Posting-Host: is.nyu.edu
X-Newsreader: TIN [version 1.2 PL2]


Where can I get information related to the hispanic population in the US.?
I need to know the  % os spanish speaking people in the U.S as well as 
their interests in technology.

I appreciate any information.
Please email me to:
ahr8598@is.nyu.edu

Thanks
Axel Rosenberg


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Sat Jul 22 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!internet!biosci!not-for-mail
From: biohelp (BIOSCI Administrator)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: UNSUBSCRIBING, BIOSCI ARCHIVES, ADDRESS DATABASE & BIOSCI FAQ
Date: 23 Jul 1995 02:00:12 -0700
Organization: BIOSCI International Newsgroups for Molecular Biology
Lines: 347
Sender: daemon@net.bio.net
Distribution: world
Message-ID: <199507230900.CAA01747@net.bio.net>
NNTP-Posting-Host: net.bio.net


Four important items follow: How to cancel e-mail subscriptions to
BIOSCI newsgroups, BIOSCI archive searching, the BIOSCI FAQ, and the
BIOSCI User Address Directory form.  If you have not yet listed
yourself in our BIOSCI user directory, please take a few minutes to
complete and return the form below.  If your personal information has
changed since you listed yourself, please send us a complete new
updated form.  We can not make manual revisions to existing entries.

				Sincerely,

				Dave Kristofferson
				BIOSCI/bionet Manager

				biosci-help@net.bio.net



	 **** How to cancel a BIOSCI e-mail subscription ****

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---------------                      --------
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The address database is reindexed nightly for WAIS, waismail, gopher,
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Addresses for returning forms         Location        Network
-----------------------------         --------        -------
biovote@net.bio.net                   U.S.A.          Internet/BITNET
biovote@daresbury.ac.uk               U.K.            JANET


	     MAKING SURE THAT YOUR INFORMATION IS CURRENT

This notice will be mailed bimonthly to each newsgroup.  You should
check your database entry from time-to-time to see if your address
information is still up-to-date.


		  Using Gopher to complete the form
                  ---------------------------------

If you don't want to use a text editor, you can also use Dan
Jacobson's gopher site to fill out the address database form as
follows.  Otherwise skip this section on gopher and proceed to the
instructions for filling out the form below.

> To add yourself to the database just point your
> gopher client at merlot.gdb.org and select the following:
> 
> -->  14. Searching For Biologists/
> 
>  -->  9.  E-mail Addresses of Biosci-Bionet Users/
> 
>   -->  1.  Add (or Correct) Your Address to the BIOSCI User Address
> Data..
> 
> 
> And fill out the form.

or Rob Harper's gopher site in Europe as follows:

> Europeans can point their gopher client at gopher.csc.fi and add their
> information to the database. All entries will be mailed directly to
> Dave for incorporation in a wais source.
> 
> The path to the questionare is as follows.
> 
> 
> 6.  Information in English/
> 
>     5.  Scientific and other topics/
> 
>         1.  Finnish EMBnet BioBox/
> 
>             9.  FAQ Files/
> 
>                 5.  Bionauts Address Database (questionaire) <TEL>
> 



	    IMPORTANT INSTRUCTIONS - PLEASE READ CAREFULLY

Please enter all responses after the : on each line, leaving one (1)
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Please do NOT extend your responses past the end of each line (80
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If you are uncertain about any field, please feel free to leave it
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In the first field below, "New information or Update ...", please
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The comment: lines may be used for anything that you like but PLEASE
DO NOT DELETE THEM FROM THE FORM OR ALTER THEM.  One suggested use is
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can be requested from biosci@net.bio.net) instead of the USENET name
even if you don't participate by e-mail.  WAIS might get confused by
the periods in the USENET names.  This allows one to retrieve via WAIS
or waismail the list of participants in a particular group.

For example:

comment: ARABIDOPSIS PLANT-BIOLOGY BIONEWS

On the comment: lines
use these names below ---- NOT the USENET names below

MAILING LIST NAME          USENET Newsgroup Name
-----------------          ---------------------
ACEDB-SOFT                 bionet.software.acedb
AGEING                     bionet.molbio.ageing
AGROFORESTRY               bionet.agroforestry
ARABIDOPSIS                bionet.genome.arabidopsis
ASCB                       bionet.prof-society.ascb
BIOCAN                     bionet.prof-society.cfbs
BIOFORUM                   bionet.general
BIO-INFORMATION-THEORY     bionet.info-theory
BIONAUTS                   bionet.users.addresses
BIONEWS                    bionet.announce
BIO-JOURNALS               bionet.journals.contents
BIO-MATRIX                 bionet.molbio.bio-matrix
BIOPHYSICAL-SOCIETY        bionet.prof-society.biophysics
BIOPHYSICS                 bionet.biophysics
BIO-SOFTWARE               bionet.software
BIOTHERMOKINETICS          bionet.metabolic-reg
BIO-WWW                    bionet.software.www
CARDIOVASCULAR-RESEARCH    bionet.biology.cardiovascular
CELEGANS                   bionet.celegans
CELL-BIOLOGY               bionet.cellbiol
CHLAMYDOMONAS              bionet.chlamydomonas
CHROMOSOMES                bionet.genome.chromosomes
COMPUTATIONAL-BIOLOGY      bionet.biology.computational
CSM                        bionet.prof-society.csm
CYTONET                    bionet.cellbiol.cytonet
DROSOPHILA                 bionet.drosophila
EMBL-DATABANK              bionet.molbio.embldatabank
EMF-BIO                    bionet.emf-bio
EMPLOYMENT                 bionet.jobs
EMPLOYMENT-WANTED          bionet.jobs.wanted
FASEB                      bionet.prof-society.faseb
GDB                        bionet.molbio.gdb
GENBANK-BB                 bionet.molbio.genbank
GENETIC-LINKAGE            bionet.molbio.gene-linkage
GRASSES-SCIENCE            bionet.biology.grasses
HIV-MOLECULAR-BIOLOGY      bionet.molbio.hiv
HUMAN-GENOME-PROGRAM       bionet.molbio.genome-program
IMMUNOLOGY                 bionet.immunology
INFO-GCG                   bionet.software.gcg
JOURNAL-NOTES              bionet.journals.note
METHODS-AND-REAGENTS       bionet.molbio.methds-reagnts
MICROBIOLOGY               bionet.microbiology
MOLECULAR-EVOLUTION        bionet.molbio.evolution
MOLECULAR-MODELLING        bionet.molec-model
MOLLUSC-MOLECULAR-NEWS     bionet.molbio.molluscs
MYCOLOGY                   bionet.mycology
NEUROSCIENCE               bionet.neuroscience
N2-FIXATION                bionet.biology.n2-fixation
PARASITOLOGY               bionet.parasitology
PHOTOSYNTHESIS             bionet.photosynthesis
PLANT-BIOLOGY              bionet.plants
POPULATION-BIOLOGY         bionet.population-bio
PROTEIN-ANALYSIS           bionet.molbio.proteins
PROTEIN-CRYSTALLOGRAPHY    bionet.xtallography
PROTISTA                   bionet.protista
RAPD                       bionet.molbio.rapd
SCIENCE-RESOURCES          bionet.sci-resources
STADEN                     bionet.software.staden
STRUCTURAL-NMR             bionet.structural-nmr
TROPICAL-BIOLOGY           bionet.biology.tropical
URODELES                   bionet.organisms.urodeles
VIROLOGY                   bionet.virology
WOMEN-IN-BIOLOGY           bionet.women-in-bio
YEAST                      bionet.molbio.yeast
ZBRAFISH                   bionet.organisms.zebrafish

Listing newsgroups on the comment: line is optional, of course.

Thanks again for your cooperation!



--------------- please cut here and return portion below ---------------

New information or Update to old record (enter N or U): 
date (DD-MM-YY): 
first name: 
middle initial: 
family name: 
job title: 
e-mail address: 
e-mail network: 
phone number: 
FAX number: 
institution: 
address1: 
address2: 
address3: 
city: 
state/province: 
country: 
postal code: 
research interest: 
research interest: 
comment: 
comment: 
comment: 
comment: 
comment: 


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Mon Jul 24 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!rutgers!gatech!bloom-beacon.mit.edu!satisfied.apocalypse.org!news2.near.net!cocoa.brown.edu!news
From: Massimo Pigliucci <Massimo_Pigliucci@postoffice.brown.edu>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: second (and last) pdoc announcement for ecol. genetics
Date: 25 Jul 1995 23:42:16 GMT
Organization: Brown University
Lines: 33
Message-ID: <3v3vgo$oqu@cocoa.brown.edu>
NNTP-Posting-Host: 128.148.153.12
Mime-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: text/plain
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
X-Mailer: Mozilla 1.1N (Windows; I; 16bit)

SECOND (AND LAST) ANNOUNCEMENT: 
POST-DOC IN EVOLUTIONARY ECOLOGY AVAILABLE
                                   
A post-doc position in evolutionary ecology is anticipated (pending
final award) for the beginning of 1996 in Dr. Massimo Pigliucci's lab at the
University of Tennessee, Knoxville. The position will be funded by a
collaborative NSF grant to Dr. Pigliucci and Dr. Johanna Schmitt (Brown
University). The research will include field work on the crucifer plant
Arabidopsis thaliana to measure natural selection, as well as quantitative
genetics work. There will be opportunities to interact with the research
environment at Brown University, which is focusing on a different part of the
project involving the characterization of mutants affected in their response to
environmental heterogeneity. Also, the successfull candidate will find plenty of 
opportunities for scientific collaboration at the newly established Department of 
Ecology and Evolutionary Biology at UTK, as well as at nearby Oak Ridge National 
Labs. Experience with field and/or greenhouse experiments is preferred. 
Knowledge of  statistical analysis and software appropriate for this kind of study 
is also a plus. There will be time and facilities to pursue independent 
projects in the same area of research.
The position will start not later than February-March 1996, with possibility 
an early start, if needed. 
The duration will be 1.5 years. The salary is competetitive, 
and benefits are included. 
If interested, please contact Massimo Pigliucci, 
currently at Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, 
Box G-W, Brown University, Providence, RI 02912. 
Phone 401-863-2897, fax 401-863-2166, email pigliucc@brownvm.brown.edu
Applications by email are encouraged. 
THE DEADLINE FOR SUBMISSION OF CV, LIST OF PUBLICATIONS, 
AND LETTERS OF RECOMMENDATION IS AUGUST 10, 1995.




From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Mon Jul 24 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!rutgers!gatech!howland.reston.ans.net!swrinde!sgigate.sgi.com!enews.sgi.com!news.igc.apc.org!cdp!zpgcomm
From: Sharon Pickett <zpgcomm@igc.apc.org>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: ZPG Children's Environmental Index,
Message-ID: <APC&1'0'5cedfa77'd80@igc.apc.org>
Date: Tue, 25 Jul 1995 09:54:00 -0700 (PDT)
X-Gateway: notes@igc.apc.org
Lines: 127

                                                CONTACTS: Sharon Pickett
                                                          Tim Cline     
                                                          202-332-2200


                           UPDATE, July 12, 1995 
   CHILDREN'S ENVIRONMENTAL INDEX RANKS BEST AND WORST U.S. CITIES

               Nationwide Study Reveals Correlation Between
           Population Pressures and Problems Afflicting Children


Washington, D.C. --  Growing up in Madison, Wisconsin, is a lot
healthier than it is in San Bernardino, California, according to a new
report released by Zero Population Growth (ZPG).  The Children's
Environmental Index rates 207 U.S. cities on a broad range of
population-related social, economic, and environmental pressures that
affect the well-being of children.

     Each city was scored on 14 indicators and then ranked in relation
to all other cities.  ZPG researchers gathered data on education, crime,
pollution, percent of children living in poverty, and other
environmental indicators.  "Environment" is used in its broadest sense
to include both the social and physical conditions that influence a
child's development.

     Top ten cities include (1) Madison, WI (2) Burlington, VT (3)
Stamford, CT (4) Fargo, ND (5) Lincoln, NE (6) Overland Park, KS (7)
Sioux Falls, SD (8) Livonia, MI (9) Green Bay, WI and (10) Honolulu, HI.
Cities scoring at the bottom of the Index include (198) Tampa, FL
(199) Pomona, CA (200) Riverside, CA (201) Inglewood, CA (202) Fresno, 
CA (203) Miami, FL (204) El Monte, CA (205) Los Angeles, CA (206) 
Newark, NJ and (207) San Bernardino, CA.  A complete list of all city
scores with related articles and graphs is available in the full report.

     The Index findings show that, in general, our nation's largest
cities provide the worst environment for children.  The average
population of the 20 lowest scoring cities was 438,000 people while the
20 highest scoring cities had average populations of only 146,000. 
Lower scores in larger cities generally reflect higher rates of poverty,
unemployment, crime, teen pregnancy, school drop-outs, and pollution --
conditions that obviously create a negative environment for children.

     "But simply reducing the population of our cities is not the
answer," says ZPG Board President Dianne Dillon-Ridgley. "Moving people
into the suburbs and putting more commuters on the highways will only
make environmental problems worse.  We need to find comprehensive, long-
term solutions to slow population growth while working to address
problems that face people today."

     Index data reveals the interrelated nature of many urban problems.
For example, the ZPG study revealed a strong correlation between poverty
and other social problems. Cities with a high percentage of children
living in poverty were much more likely to have high unemployment rates,
crime rates, and drop-out rates.  An extremely high correlation was
found between child poverty and births to teens.

     On average, 22 percent of children in the cities ZPG studied
currently live below the poverty line. The Index found that 33 cities
have more than one-third of their children living in poverty and 10
cities have more than 40 percent.  Eight of the 10 cities with more than
40 percent of children in poverty also have more than 20 percent of all
births born to teenage girls.

     "High teen pregnancy rates are related to lack of educational
attainment and opportunities," says Dillon-Ridgley. "This, in turn,
leads to poor job skills and unemployment and more child poverty.  The
Index challenges citizens to examine factors that affect this vicious
cycle of poverty and population growth and re-evaluate community
priorities.  In the long run, communities that can stabilize population
and ensure sustainable development will enjoy a higher quality of life
than communities that do not."

     The U.S. population is currently about 260 million and growing by
more than 3 million people a year, a rate faster than any other
industrialized nation.  The U.S. is the third most populated nation in
the world, after China and India, and set to double to 500 million by
2050. This exploding population exacerbates many of the problems that
already plague our cities and is intensified by the fact that Americans
produce more waste and consume more natural resources than any other
nation.

     While population pressures affect everyone, they take their
greatest toll on children.  Children are more susceptible to pollution
because they spend more time outdoors, breathe more air per pound of
body weight, and have fewer detoxifying enzymes than adults.  They are
more vulnerable to malnutrition and disease and less able to defend
themselves against violence and neglect.

     The Children's Environmental Index pinpoints areas of failure and
success and gives people solid data they can use to facilitate changes
in their cities.  The Index is not intended to suggest that people
should relocate from one city to another.  Rather, the Index should be
viewed as a vehicle to examine current conditions and plan improvements
accordingly.

     The Children's Environmental Index was produced by Zero Population
Growth, the nation's largest grassroots organization concerned with the
impacts of population growth.  ZPG supports a comprehensive approach to
reducing population pressures including access to safe and affordable
contraceptives, reproductive choice, school-based sexuality education
and health services, international support for basic education and
voluntary family planning programs, green technologies and recycling
programs, and the adoption of a national population policy.  In
combination with responsible personal choices such as reducing
consumption and having smaller families, these actions can help to
ensure a quality environment for present and future generations.

     Copies of the Children's Environmental Index are $7.50 each plus
$1.50 postage and handling ($9.00 total).  Checks should be made payable
to ZPG and sent to ZPG Publications, 1400 16th Street NW, Washington, DC
20036 or VISA/Mastercard orders can be placed by calling 202-332-2200. 
ZPG speakers are available upon request to discuss the Index and
population issues.

Copyright (c) 1994 Zero Population Growth.  Permission is granted to
make and distribute verbatim electronic copies of this document for
nonprofit educational purposes provided the copyright notice and this
permission notice are preserved on all copies.  Permission is also
granted to copy and distribute translations of this document into
another language, under the above conditions, except that this permission
notice must be stated in a translation approved by Zero Population Growth.

000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
ZERO POPULATION GROWTH           GIVE EARTH A BRAKE, STOP OVERPOPULATION
VOICE 202-332-2200        e-mail zpg@igc.apc.org        FAX 202-332-2302
000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000

From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Tue Jul 25 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bcm!cs.utexas.edu!geraldo.cc.utexas.edu!huey.cc.utexas.edu!minerva
From: minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu (lotte stavenhagen)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Zero Population Growth
Date: 26 Jul 1995 14:21:34 GMT
Organization: The University of Texas at Austin, Austin, Texas
Lines: 9
Message-ID: <3v5j1e$d0h@geraldo.cc.utexas.edu>
NNTP-Posting-Host: huey.cc.utexas.edu
X-Newsreader: TIN [version 1.2 PL2]

I would like to open a discussion, or join one in progress, on the
issue of world population growth and it's impact on society, environment,
and other issues.  


Anyone up for it?

Ursa


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Thu Jul 27 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bcm!cs.utexas.edu!swrinde!gatech!news.uoregon.edu!mars.efn.org!usenet
From: Patrick Bronson <patrickb@efn.org>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Re: Zero Population Growth
Date: 27 Jul 1995 23:19:15 GMT
Organization: Eugene Free Net
Lines: 11
Message-ID: <3v96tk$loa@mars.efn.org>
References: <3v5j1e$d0h@geraldo.cc.utexas.edu>
NNTP-Posting-Host: dynip39.efn.org
Mime-Version: 1.0
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii
Content-Transfer-Encoding: 7bit
X-Mailer: Mozilla 1.1N (Windows; I; 16bit)
To: minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu

minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu (lotte stavenhagen) wrote:
>I would like to open a discussion, or join one in progress, on the
>issue of world population growth and it's impact on society, environment,
>and other issues.  
>
>
>Anyone up for it?

Yes!  There's a newsgroup called KZPG, but I can't find the e-mail address!  If you write me back 
I should be able to retrieve it.


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Thu Jul 27 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bcm!cs.utexas.edu!swrinde!gatech!news.uoregon.edu!mars.efn.org!usenet
From: Patrick Bronson <patrickb@efn.org>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Re: Zero Population Growth
Date: 28 Jul 1995 04:47:15 GMT
Organization: Eugene Free Net
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To: minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu,(lotte,stavenhagen)

Patrick Bronson <patrickb@efn.org> wrote:
>minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu (lotte stavenhagen) wrote:
>>I would like to open a discussion, or join one in progress, on the
>>issue of world population growth and it's impact on society, environment,
>>and other issues.  
>>
>>
>>Anyone up for it?
>
>Yes!  There's a newsgroup called KZPG, but I can't find the e-mail address!  If you write me back 
>I should be able to retrieve it.
>

I just looked it up.  E-mail to:

heimlich@iti.com

for info on KZPG.


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Thu Jul 27 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!daresbury!nntp-trd.UNINETT.no!Norway.EU.net!EU.net!howland.reston.ans.net!tank.news.pipex.net!pipex!news.sprintlink.net!uunet!in1.uu.net!news.io.com!usenet
From: richb@io.com (Rich Bernstein)
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Historical US birthrates and Dent
Date: 28 Jul 1995 21:55:59 GMT
Organization: Illuminati Online
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I am in the midst of reading a book by Dent called The Coming Boom (or
something like that). In it, Mr. Dent claims that there is a close
correlation between population peaks and economic well-being. I want to
check out his theories but I need the birth rates from about 1900 until 
now. Can anyone point me to a URL or a FTP site where I can get these 
numbers in a format so I can import them into Excel? I also need some  
historical data on interest rates or stock market averages. Anyone know 
where to find this stuff, or have any comments on Dent's book? 

-Rich


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Thu Jul 27 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bcm!cs.utexas.edu!swrinde!gatech!news.uoregon.edu!mars.efn.org!usenet
From: Patrick Bronson <patrickb@efn.org>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Re: Zero Population Growth
Date: 28 Jul 1995 04:48:23 GMT
Organization: Eugene Free Net
Lines: 19
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To: minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu

Patrick Bronson <patrickb@efn.org> wrote:
>minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu (lotte stavenhagen) wrote:
>>I would like to open a discussion, or join one in progress, on the
>>issue of world population growth and it's impact on society, environment,
>>and other issues.  
>>
>>
>>Anyone up for it?
>
>Yes!  There's a newsgroup called KZPG, but I can't find the e-mail address!  If you write me back 
>I should be able to retrieve it.
>

I just looked it up.  E-mail to:

heimlich@iti.com

for info on KZPG.


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Thu Jul 27 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bcm!cs.utexas.edu!swrinde!gatech!news.uoregon.edu!mars.efn.org!usenet
From: Patrick Bronson <patrickb@efn.org>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Re: Zero Population Growth
Date: 28 Jul 1995 04:47:58 GMT
Organization: Eugene Free Net
Lines: 19
Message-ID: <3v9q5u$t40@mars.efn.org>
References: <3v5j1e$d0h@geraldo.cc.utexas.edu> <3v96tk$loa@mars.efn.org>
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To: minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu,(lotte,stavenhagen)

Patrick Bronson <patrickb@efn.org> wrote:
>minerva@huey.cc.utexas.edu (lotte stavenhagen) wrote:
>>I would like to open a discussion, or join one in progress, on the
>>issue of world population growth and it's impact on society, environment,
>>and other issues.  
>>
>>
>>Anyone up for it?
>
>Yes!  There's a newsgroup called KZPG, but I can't find the e-mail address!  If you write me back 
>I should be able to retrieve it.
>

I just looked it up.  E-mail to:

heimlich@iti.com

for info on KZPG.


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Sat Jul 29 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bloom-beacon.mit.edu!news.kei.com!news.mathworks.com!newsfeed.internetmci.com!news.compuserve.com!news.production.compuserve.com!news
From: Patrick Loewen <75121.677@CompuServe.COM>
Newsgroups: bionet.microbiology,bionet.population-bio,sci.bio.microbiology
Subject: Help! Salmonella in sewage sludge
Date: 30 Jul 1995 19:56:12 GMT
Organization: CompuServe, Inc. (1-800-689-0736)
Lines: 23
Message-ID: <3vgo4s$6h5$1@mhafn.production.compuserve.com>
Xref: biosci bionet.microbiology:2834 bionet.population-bio:1482 sci.bio.microbiology:1256

Hello,
My name is Patrick Loewen. I am living in Luxembourg, in a small town called Lintgen. I am a member of 
our local environment commission. I need an advice on something that happened a month ago.
A neighboring sewage plant had her sludge bring out on several fields on top of a hill near Lintgen. This was 
authorized by the environment administration, as analyses showed no metal or bacteriological contamination.
But several people in Lintgen worried about the quantity of sludge that was brought out. They protested at 
the environment administration. This one did another analyse at the sewage plant 2 weeks later. This analyse 
showed a Salmonella infection of the sludge. Was it already contaminated as it was brought out? No one 
could give an answer.
Now, many people worry, because on the foot of this hill is a fountain where Lintgen gets its drinkeng water 
from. The administration says that the sludge was not brought out in the water protection zones, but they 
are small because of the agricultural activity on the hill.
My questions are:
Can Salmonella survive in the soil and contaminate the groundwater?
If not, is there any danger of bringing out Salmonella in this way?
Should we convince our municipality to prevent future sludge bring outs?

You would really help me if you can give me answers.
Thank you

Patrick Loewen
75121.677@compuserve.com


From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Sun Jul 30 23:00:00 1995
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From: julio gurdian <JGurdian@AOL.com>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: Re: Zero Population Growth
Date: 30 Jul 1995 23:34:50 GMT
Organization: Dartmouth College, Hanover, NH, USA
Lines: 3
Message-ID: <3vh4uq$c8e@dartvax.dartmouth.edu>
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Oh yeah, well your momma!



From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Sun Jul 30 23:00:00 1995
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio,comp.ai.neural-nets,bionet.plants
Path: biosci!bloom-beacon.mit.edu!news.kei.com!news.mathworks.com!uunet!in2.uu.net!gail.ripco.com!inquire
From: inquire@ripco.com (Resampling Stats)
Subject: Internet Resources on Statistics (P07295)
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Xref: biosci bionet.population-bio:1484 comp.ai.neural-nets:16817 bionet.plants:7775



                          ANNOUNCEMENT
               (Internet Resources on Statistics)

     The Resampling Project offers you a variety of free
materials on the practice of resampling and its pedagogy.  These
include articles in _Science News_ and _Chance_ and _MD
Computing_, full length books, research on the results of using
and teaching resampling, and much more.  For lists of such
materials and information on how to get them, please reply to
this message or contact inquire@qcnet.com.


Background:  Over the past couple of decades, the resampling
method (including the bootstrap) has revolutionized the field of
statistics.  Resampling tests are now the method of choice for
much everyday work.  But this is not yet well known outside the
community of professional statisticians.

Peter Bruce                                Resampling Stats
phone 703-522-2713                         612 N. Jackson St.
fax   703-522-5846                         Arlington, VA  22201
inquire@qcnet.com                     	   USA

From owner-population-bio@net.bio.net Sun Jul 30 23:00:00 1995
Path: biosci!bloom-beacon.mit.edu!news.moneng.mei.com!uwm.edu!msunews!harbinger.cc.monash.edu.au!newshost.anu.edu.au!newsmaster
From: McComas <mccomas@cres.anu.edu.au>
Newsgroups: bionet.population-bio
Subject: New Book Announcement
Date: 31 Jul 1995 02:00:08 GMT
Organization: Australian National University
Lines: 61
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'Risk of Extinction: Ranking management options for Leadbeater's Possum 
using Population Viability Analysis. DB Lindenmayer and HP Possingham. 
Australian National University, Centre for Resource and Environmental 
Studies. Canberra. 204pp. A$20 + $5 handling ($10 international 
handling).

Details: e-mail: publications@cres.anu.edu.au

WWW Site and ofer form : http://cres20.anu.edu.au/possum/possum.html

Abstract

This book by David Lindenmayer and Hugh Possingham contains 
recommendations for forest management to minimise the chance of 
extinction of Leadbeater's Possum (Gymnobelideus leadbeateri. These 
recommendations are based on the consideration of the biology of 
Leadbeater's Possum and an extensive population simulation study in which 
the likelihood of extinction of the species was assessed under a wide 
range of scenarios. A brief overview of Population Viability Analysis 
(PVA) is outlined in Chapter 1. 

The computer simulation model (ALEX) that was applied in this study is 
described in Chapter 2. Chapter 3 contains a short summary of aspects of 
the biology and ecology of Leadbeater's Possum relevant to our 
investigation. Key results from PVA are presented in Chapters 4-7. 
Baseline explorations of the dynamics of populations of Leadbeater's 
Possum within existing patches of suitable habitat are described in 
Chapter 4.

An investigation of population behaviour resulting from catastrophic 
wildfire events is outlined in Chapter 5. Further complexity is added to 
our analyses in Chapter 6, in which we model the impacts of disturbances 
arising from a combination of fire and logging operations. In that 
chapter, the relative merits of different management strategies for the 
conservation of Leadbeater's Possum within wood production forests is 
examined. 

Given that a major outcome of Chapter 6 was that the permanent 
reservation of key forest patches was one of the most useful conservation 
strategies, the analyses in Chapter 7 focus on aspects of reserve size, 
position and number. Notably, in many parts of Chapters 6 and 7 we have 
concentrated on ranking different management options. In these cases we 
are primarily concerned with the relative effectiveness of different 
conservation strategies rather than precise values for the probability of 
extinction.

The key findings and conclusions associated with each phase of analysis 
are presented in several places in this document. A brief overview of the 
results is given in the Executive Summary at the front of the book, 
together with key recommendations for forest management to enhance 
long-term conservation strategies for Leadbeater's Possum. In addition, 
there are Summary and Conclusions sections accompanying each chapter 
where we completed PVA.

Finally, in Chapter 8 we present a synthesis of some of the key findings 
of the study. An important part of PVA is to understand the limitations 
of the analyses that have been completed. On this basis, an Assumptions 
and Limitations section accompanies each chapter in which the results of 
analyses are presented.



