exponential growth

Patrick O'Neil patrick at corona
Wed Feb 15 18:44:39 EST 1995



On Wed, 15 Feb 1995, Chris Driver wrote:

> What is this rubbish about exponential growth? Demographers from most parts of 
> the world are agreed that the present trends are heading towards a steady 
> population size.

Though some countries do demonstrate either slowed growth or actual 
declines in overall population size, they are practically all in the 
developed nations with cultures that support such demographics.  The 
largest reproducers are Third World nations and in spite of piddly little 
fights such as seen in Rwanda (piddly is not to say it isn't horrendous, 
just that the numbers of deaths are insignificant when measured against 
total population and reproduction rate in other countries), they continue 
to pump out the people.  Part of the problem is that their centuries-old 
cultures call for large families, without regards to overall population 
size.  It is unrealistic and very Western-centric to assume that all 
countries will/should adopt the developed Western nation's cultural ways, 
as though they are the only proper way to be (I have some Cultural 
Anthropologist friends who would like to skin you alive if that is what 
you indirectly or directly imply).  Population density will get worse 
before it gets better and there will be much suffering in the meantime.  
These predictions, by the way, do not in any way take into account the 
affects of theoretical life-extension treatments/technologies such as are 
being discussed here.  It is the theoretical problems created by the 
theoretical treatments that I argue about.   




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