exponential growth
John de Rivaz
John at longevb.demon.co.uk
Fri Feb 17 02:36:49 EST 1995
I have been asked for the reference to the oft-quoted "if all those who
have ever died were resurrected the world's population would only
double."
Flicking through my books, including Jack Parsons' "Population versus
Liberty" has not produce it.
I do have graphs of world population increase 1000 to 1970 and they
show a curve of the form y equals x to the power of one point
something. (Not explicity stated in the text, at least if it was I
didn't find it.)
Does anyone have an academically accepted equation that represents
world growth, and can anyone suggest a mathematical method of using it
to calculate the effect of resurrecting all the world's dead?
I have thought that it could be programmed assumpting some
approximations:
1. average lifespan is 30 years to 1700, 75 years after
2. the lifespan of humanity is 10,000 years
3. the initial population is zero at -10000 from the present
then take blocks of 30 years, calculate the total population by scaling off
the graph obtained for the equation of growth and sum them all
together until 75 years before the present.
read off the present population.
the ratio between the two figures is the required result.
--
Sincerely, ****************************************
* Publisher of Longevity Report *
John de Rivaz * Fractal Report *
* details on request *
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