Aids epidemiology

Dr John nzaf at
Tue Nov 15 16:00:36 EST 1994

Does anyone out there have info about interpretation of annual
and cumulative incidence curves for AIDS?

In particular the various possible theoretical explanations for
down-trending curves at this time.

And also why the curves should downtrend at completely different
prevalence levels in populations of homosexual / bisexual men in
different countries?   Some of the relevant concepts are saturation,
steady state and the effects of behaviour change.

Any help would be greatly appreciated.

John Haywood.


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